The NBUL class of life distribution and replacement policy comparisons

Let X and X_τ denote the lifetime and the residual life at age τ of a system, respectively. X is said to be a NBUL random variable if X_τ is smaller than X in Laplace order, i.e., X_τ ≤_L X. We obtain some characterizations for this class of life distribution by means of the lifetime of a series system and the residual life at random time. We also discuss preservation properties for this class of life distribution under shock models. Finally, under the assumption that the lifetimes have the NBUL property, we make stochastic comparisons between some basic replacement policies. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48: 578–591, 2001.     

环形串联直缸发动机配气系统设计

环形串联直缸发动机具有功率密度高、惯性力小等诸多优点,但其运行时气缸转子始终绕输出轴周向转动,使得传统发动机静态的配气方法不再适用。因此,研究设计一种能够满足该型发动机进排气需求的新型配气系统意义重大。针对该型发动机独特的环形串联结构和差速运动特性,研究了各转子气缸的容积变化规律,分析了各转子气缸进排气相位与转子转角之间的关系,创新设计了一种基于气道复用的动态位置配气系统。根据二冲程发动机配气方案设计加工了配气系统零部件,并通过高压气动实验完成了对该型发动机的动态进排气过程。实验结果表明,当给定外加驱动气压0.25 MPa时,发动机能够以约200 r/min的速度稳定运转,有效验证了该配气系统的可行性。     

基于贝叶斯模型的装备剩余寿命预测研究

为了解决武器装备日益复杂及维修工作日趋繁重的问题,运用贝叶斯模型预测装备修理后的剩余寿命,为合理安排其修理计划提供依据。替代传统的指数分布,用威布尔分布描述系统寿命特征,并运用极大似然方法和贝叶斯方法估计威布尔分布的两个未知参数,给出其置信区间。在此基础上,对先验样本和后验样本两种不同情况,分别运用贝叶斯模型预测装备修理后的剩余寿命,并给出实例。结果表明了该方法的有效性。     

Analysis of a machine repair problem with an unreliable server and phase type repairs and services

In this paper we study a machine repair problem in which a single unreliable server maintains N identical machines. The breakdown times of the machines are assumed to follow an exponential distribution. The server is subject to failure and the failure times are exponentially distributed. The repair times of the machine and the service times of the repairman are assumed to be of phase type. Using matrix‐analytic methods, we perform steady state analysis of this model. The time spent by a failed machine in service and the total time in the repair facility are shown to be of phase type. Several performance measures are evaluated. An optimization problem to determine the number of machines to be assigned to the server that will maximize the expected total profit per unit time is discussed. An illustrative numerical example is presented. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 462–480, 2003     

Two‐stage component test plans for testing the reliability of a series system

A system reliability is often evaluated by individual tests of components that constitute the system. These component test plans have advantages over complete system based tests in terms of time and cost. In this paper, we consider the series system with n components, where the lifetime of the i‐th component follows exponential distribution with parameter λ_i. Assuming test costs for the components are different, we develop an efficient algorithm to design a two‐stage component test plan that satisfies the usual probability requirements on the system reliability and in addition minimizes the maximum expected cost. For the case of prior information in the form of upper bounds on λ_i's, we use the genetic algorithm to solve the associated optimization problems which are otherwise difficult to solve using mathematical programming techniques. The two‐stage component test plans are cost effective compared to single‐stage plans developed by Rajgopal and Mazumdar. We demonstrate through several numerical examples that our approach has the potential to reduce the overall testing costs significantly. © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 49: 95–116, 2002; DOI 10.1002/nav.1051     

Weibull型产品的可靠性验证

讨论了Weibull型产品的可靠性验证问题 ,首先分析了Weibull型产品分布参数的无信息验前分布问题 ,利用验前信息可以得到分布参数的验前概率密度函数 ,进而分析了产品的可靠性验证问题 ,顾及了使用方利益和生产方利益。仿真算例表明 ,使用方利益和生产方利益是相互折衷的。     

面向 MPP Fortran 的程序自动并行化初探

ＭＰＰＦｏｒｔｒａｎ是由Ｃｒａｙ公司推出的一种较有代表性的数据并行语言,本文首先介绍了ＭＰＰＦｏｒｔｒａｎ的主要特点,然后,以该语言为例,对面向ＭＰＰ系统程序自动并行化的主要内容进行了初步的探讨。     

汽车空调制冷系统的优化分布原则研究

本文结合汽车空调系统的装修实践,以热舒适条件为评判标准,根据空调制冷系统的性能计算和车箱热载荷计算,提出了汽车空调制冷系统的选用依据及其优化分布的若干基本原则。     

恒加试验的最优线性不变估计

给出了恒加试验的最优线性无偏估计与最优线性不变估计。与有关文献给出的二步估计相比,这两个估计有较大改进,并且在计算上简单可行。     

Hopfield神经网络的防空火力最优分配问题

火力的最优分配是作战计划的重要内容,它包含火力单位特性、目标单位特性、最优准则、射击条件四个方面的内容。简要介绍了Hopfield神经网络的基础知识,建立了防空自动化指挥系统中火力分配的Hopfield神经网络算法一般模型,在此基础上,阐述了利用该算法在火力分配中的一般应用,并通过在计算机上借助C语言编程实现了这一模型,得出了一种比较合理可行的火力分配方案。